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Although the number of road accident casualties in Europe (EU27) is falling the problem still remains substantial. In 2011 there were still over 30,000 road accident fatalities. Approximately half of these were car occupants and about 60 percent of these occurred in frontal impacts. The next stage to improve a car's safety performance in frontal impacts is to improve its compatibility. The objective of the FIMCAR FP7 EU-project was to develop an assessment approach suitable for regulatory application to control a car's frontal impact and compatibility crash performance and perform an associated cost benefit analysis for its implementation. This paper reports the cost benefit analyses performed to estimate the effect of the following potential changes to the frontal impact regulation: • Option 1 " No change and allow current measures to propagate throughout the vehicle fleet. • Option 2 " Add a full width test to the current offset Deformable Barrier (ODB) test. • Option 3 " Add a full width test and replace the current ODB test with a Progressive Deformable Barrier (PDB) test. For the analyses national data were used from Great Britain (STATS 19) and from Germany (German Federal Statistical Office). In addition in-depth real word crash data were used from CCIS (Great Britain) and GIDAS (Germany). To estimate the benefit a generalised linear model, an injury reduction model and a matched pairs modelling approach were applied. The benefits were estimated to be: for Option 1 "No change" about 2.0%; for Option 2 "FW test" ranging from 5 to 12% and for Option 3 "FW and PDB tests" 9 to 14% of car occupant killed and seriously injured casualties.
In spite of today's highly sophisticated crash test procedures like the different NCAP programs running world-wide, bad real world crash performance of cars is still an issue. There are crash situations which are not sufficiently represented by actual test configurations. This is especially true for car to car, as well as for car to object impacts. The paper describes reasons for this bad performance. The reasons are in principal bad structural interaction between the car and its impact partners (geometric incompatibility), unadjusted front end stiffness (stiffness incompatibility) and collapse of passenger compartments. To show the efficiency of improving cars' structural behaviour in accidents with different impact partners an accident data analysis has been taken out by members of European Project VC-COMPAT. Accident data analysis has shown that in Germany between 15,000 and 20,000 of the now severely injured car occupants might get less injured and between 600 and 900 car occupant fatalities might be saved. Similar results arise for the UK.
In the paper it is investigated to what extend one can extrapolate the detailed accident database GIDAS (German In-Depth Accident Study), with survey area Hanover and Dresden region, to accident behavior in other regions and countries within Europe and how such an extrapolation can be implemented and evaluated. Moreover, it is explored what extent of accident data for the target country is necessary for such an extrapolation and what can be done in situations with sparse and low accident information in a target region. It will be shown that a direct transfer of GIDAS injury outcomes to other regions does not lead to satisfactory results. But based on GIDAS and using statistical decision tree methods, an extrapolation methodology will be presented which allows for an adequate prediction of the distribution of injury severity in severe traffic accidents for European countries. The method consists essentially of a separation of accidents into well-described subgroups of accidents within which the accident severity distribution does not vary much over different regions. In contrast the distribution over the various subgroups of accidents typically is rather different between GIDAS and the target. For the separation into the subgroups meaningful accident parameters (like accident type, traffic environment, type of road etc.) have been selected. The developed methodology is applied to GIDAS data for the years 1999-2012 and is evaluated with police accident data for Sweden (2002 to 2012) and the United Kingdom (2004 to 2010). It is obtained that the extrapolation proposal has good to very good predictive power in the category of severe traffic accidents. Moreover, it is shown that iterative proportional fitting enables the developed extrapolation method to lead to a satisfactory extrapolation of accident outcomes even to target regions with sparse accident information. As an important potential application of the developed methodology the a priori extrapolation of effects of (future) safety systems, the operation of which can only be well assessed on the basis of very detailed GIDAS accident data, is presented. Based on the evaluation of the presented extrapolation method it will be shown that GIDAS very well represents severe accidents, i.e. accidents with at least one severely or fatally injured person involved, for other countries in Europe. The developed extrapolation method reaches its limits in cases for which only very little accident information is available for the target region.
Die Klasse der Leichtkraftfahrzeuge (LKfz) unterliegt in Deutschland bislang keiner Zulassungspflicht und damit auch keiner regelmäßigen technischen Überwachung. Es handelt sich hierbei um Fahrzeuge mit einer Leermasse unter 350 kg und einer zulässigen Höchstgeschwindigkeit von 45 km/h. Das äußere Erscheinungsbild der LKfz ähnelt dem eines normalen Kleinwagens. Die Fahrzeuge erhalten ein Versicherungskennzeichen, als Fahrerlaubnis wird ein Führerschein der Klasse B benötigt. Im Rahmen dieser Forschungsarbeit wurde untersucht, ob von der Einführung einer obligatorischen technischen Überwachung für LKfz ein Beitrag zur Verkehrssicherheit zu erwarten ist und wie eine solche Überprüfung aussehen sollte. Hierzu wurden stichprobenhaft drei gebrauchte LKfz unterschiedlicher Hersteller, ein neues LKfz sowie ein vergleichbarer kompakter Pkw beschafft. Die Untersuchung erfolgte in drei Schritten: - Die LKfz wurden zunächst einer Hauptuntersuchung nach Paragraf 29 Straßenverkehrszulassungsordnung (StVZO) zugeführt und anschließend einer darüber hinausgehenden Prüfung unterzogen. Dabei zeigten sich teilweise erhebliche, sicherheitsrelevante Mängel, die ohne eine Überprüfung unerkannt geblieben wären. - Um Aussagen über die aktive Sicherheit der LKfz zu erhalten, wurden Versuche zur Fahrdynamik durchgeführt. Prinzipiell zeigten sich im Vergleich untereinander sowie mit dem normalen Kleinwagen keine wesentlichen Unterschiede in den fahrdynamischen Eigenschaften im Geschwindigkeitsbereich bis 45 km/h; es kam zu keinen kritischen Fahrsituationen. Allerdings wurden erst durch die Fahrversuche Defekte an der Bremse und der Lenkung bei je einem der LKfz entdeckt. - Zur Beurteilung der passiven Sicherheit wurden die LKfz, ausgerüstet mit einem Dummy, mit einer Geschwindigkeit von 35 km/h gegen einen starren Block gefahren. Auswirkungen auf die passive Sicherheit der LKfz aufgrund einer fehlenden technischen Überwachung konnten hierbei nicht nachgewiesen werden. Grundsätzlich zeigte sich jedoch, dass bei der passiven Sicherheit der LKfz ein erhebliches Verbesserungspotenzial besteht. Resultierend aus den Ergebnissen dieser Untersuchungen ergibt sich folgende Forderung: Zur Verbesserung der Verkehrssicherheit sollte eine regelmäßige technische Überwachung der LKfz eingeführt werden. Die Überprüfung sollte in Anlehnung an die Hauptuntersuchung von Pkw erfolgen, im Prüfumfang jedoch speziell auf die LKfz abgestimmt werden. Hierzu gehört insbesondere eine kurze Probefahrt, um Mängel an der Bremsanlage beziehungsweise Lenkanlage oder Manipulationen an der Drosselung der Geschwindigkeit feststellen zu können.
The share of high-tensile steel in car bodies has increased over the last years. While occupant safety has generally benefited from this measure, there is a potential risk that, as a result, rescue time may increase considerably. In more than 60% of all car occupant fatalities a technical rescue has been necessary. These are in particular those cases where occupants die immediately at the accident scene. Therefore, in these cases "rescue time" is a very sensitive parameter. In addition to the general analysis of the need of technical rescue and the actual rescue time depending on model years, the injury pattern of occupants requiring technical rescue will be analysed to provide advice for rescue teams. Furthermore, a detailed analysis of rescue measures for the most popular car models depending on the safety cell design is given.
Today, Euro NCAP is a well established rating system for passive car safety. The significance of the ratings must however be evaluated by comparison with national accident data. For this purpose accidents with involvement of two passenger cars have been taken from the German National Road Accident Register (record years 1998 to 2004) to evaluate the results of the NCAP frontal impact test configuration. Injury data from both drivers involved in frontal car to car collisions have been sampled and have been compared, using a "Bradley Terry Model" which is well established in the area of paired comparisons. Confounders " like mass ratio of the cars involved, gender of the driver, etc. " have been accounted for in the statistical model. Applying the Bradley Terry Model to the national accident data the safety ranking from Euro NCAP has been validated (safety level: 1star <2 star <3 star <4 star). Significant safety differences are found between cars of the 1 and 2 star category as compared to cars of the 3 and 4 star category. The impact of the mass ratio was highly significant and most influential. Changing the mass ratio by an amount of 10% will raise the chance for the driver of the heavier car to get better off by about 18%. The impact of driver gender was again highly significant, showing a nearly 2 times lower injury risk for male drivers. With regard to the NCAP rating drivers of a high rated car are more than 2 times more probable (70% chance) to get off less injured in a frontal collision as compared to the driver of a low rated car.
A biofidelic flexible pedestrian legform impactor (FlexPLI) has been developed from the year 2000 onwards and evaluated by a technical evaluation group (Flex-TEG) of UN-ECE GRSP. A recently established UN-ECE GRSP Informal Group on GTR9 Phase 2 is aiming at introducing the FlexPLI within world-wide regulations on pedestrian safety (Phase 2 of GTR No. 9 as well as the new UN regulation 127 on pedestrian safety) as a test tool for the assessment of lower extremity injuries in lateral vehicle-to-pedestrian accidents. Besides, the FlexPLI has already been introduced within JNCAP and is on the Euro NCAP roadmap for 2014. Despite of the biofidelic properties in the knee and tibia sections, several open issues related to the FlexPLI, like the estimation of the cost benefit, the feasibility of vehicle compliance with the threshold values, the robustness of the impactor and of the test results, the comparability between prototype and production level and the finalization of certification corridors still needed to be solved. Furthermore, discussions with stakeholders about a harmonized lower legform to bumper test area are still going on. This paper describes several studies carried out by the Federal Highway Research Institute (BASt) regarding the benefit due to the introduction of the FlexPLI within legislation for type approval, the robustness of test results, the establishment of new assembly certification corridors and a proposal for a harmonized legform to bumper test area. Furthermore, a report on vehicle tests that previously had been carried out with three prototype legforms and were now being repeated using legforms with serial production status, is given. Finally, the paper gives a status report on the ongoing simulation and testing activities with respect to the development and evaluation of an improved test procedure with upper body mass for assessing pedestrian femur injuries.