Berichte der Bundesanstalt für Straßenwesen, Reihe F: Fahrzeugtechnik
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112b
Camera-monitor systems (CMS) can be used in motor vehicles to display the driver's rear view on a monitor mounted inside the vehicle. This also offers the possibility of replacing conventional exterior mirrors with suitable CMS and thereby implementing new design concepts with aerodynamic advantages. However, as exterior mirrors are safety-relevant vehicle parts for securing the driver's indirect rear view (requirements specified in UN Regulation No. 46), the question arises whether CMS can provide an equivalent substitute for mirrors. In the scope of this study, CMS and conventional exterior mirrors were compared and assessed in test drives and static tests under different external conditions. On the one hand, the examination of technical aspects, and on the other hand, issues pertaining to the design of the human-machine interaction, were the objects of the study. Two vehicles were available for the trials with passenger vehicles: A vehicle, manufactured in small series, which is already equipped with CMS as sole replacement for the exterior mirrors, as well as a compact class vehicle which had a CMS retrofitted by the car manufacturer in addition to conventionally used exterior mirrors. The latter could be covered exclusively for trips with CMS. A tractor unit with semitrailer was available for the truck trials. The driver's cabin was equipped with a CMS system developed by the vehicle manufacturer. In general, it was shown that it is possible to display the indirect rear view sufficiently for the driver, both for cars and trucks, using CMS which meet specific quality criteria. Depending on the design, it is even possible to receive more information about the rear space from a CMS than is possible with mirror systems. It was also shown that the change from mirrors to CMS requires a certain period of familiarisation. However, this period is relatively short and does not necessarily result in safety-critical situations.
99
Although the bus belongs to the safest traffic means, single accidents can be particularly severe and concern many passengers. Especially in case of fires a high number of injured and killed persons can be the outcome. Fire safety of buses therefore is of high importance. With the increase of plastic materials as a material for the interior equipment of buses and coaches due to their good mechanical properties combined with low weight, the question arises whether the safety level has decreased in case of a fire during the last years " also compared to other means of transport. Because of the combustible plastics and their ability to release a high amount of heat the main fire load in buses is no longer the fuel but the plastic materials which are also often easy to ignite. Besides the flammability of the equipments, also the production of smoke, the smoke development and propagation as well as its toxicity are of interest. That counts for the passengers as well as for the test methods and its limit values. The severe fire in Germany near Hanover in 2008 with 20 fatalities showed how disastrous such fires can be. For those reasons several research projects were initiated on behalf of the German Federal Highway Research Institute. At the one hand the fire behaviour of coach interiors was examined in general focusing on fire propagation as well as fire detection and signalling. As result, recommendations with regard to early fire detection systems for the engine compartments and onboard extinguishing equipment were elaborated. On the other hand research was carried out to examine heat release, smoke, smoke propagation and its toxicity due to burning bus interior materials. In this project small and real scale experiments on material specimens, interior parts and vehicles were performed. Trains and buses often have very similar operation conditions. Consequently, bus interior material was tested according to the regulations for rail vehicles, i.e. DIN EN 45545 as well as DIN 5510. None of the tested bus interior materials would have been allowed to use in a train. The fire safety regulations for bus materials are on a low level compared to other transport sectors, i.e. railway, ship and aircraft. Also numerical investigations with the Fire Dynamics Simulator (FDS) were performed. The very rapid fire development during the severe bus fire from 2008 could be predicted with the numerical model. The model was then used to investigate the influence of different materials, ventilation conditions and ignition sources. The bus materials contribute significantly to a very rapid fire development in bus fires. Especially, the flammable ceiling and the passenger seats were identified to be key issues of the fire propagation in a bus and can be explained by the rapid fire spread along the ceiling and the high fire load of passenger seats. As conclusion of the project effective and economically reasonable fire safety requirements for interiors of buses are recommended which would improve the current situation. Proposals for amendments of current requirements are recommended including the specification of appropriate limit values. In particular, it is taken into consideration which reasonable fire safety standards from other transport sectors, especially the rail sector, should be transferred to buses
68
At the beginning of the year 2000 the European Commission set the goal to halve the number of road deaths till the year 2010. The main focus are passenger car and lorry traffic. A significant reduction of the accident data could be reached in these groups. The advancement of active vehicle safety systems is an important issue of the programme. The safety of the motorcycle traffic has been disregarded till now. Since 1991 the number of killed motorcycle riders per year has been constant. The number of killed passenger car occupants has been more than halved in the same period. This is why initiatives are caused for the increase of the motorcycle safety. A great safety potential is expected for the Antilock Brake System (ABS). ABS for motorcycles is considered from the economic view in this study. A cost-benefit analysis shall clarify whether the economic benefit of ABS for motorcycles is greater than the consumed resources. Moreover, a sensitivity analysis will determine the maximal justifiable consumption in resource for which ABS is worthwhile. After the sensitivity analysis is done a break-even analysis will determine the market price respectively the annual mileage from which on ABS is worthwhile on user level. For this the fair end consumer market price is calculated which the user is ready to pay. For the considered market prices the annual mileage is determined from which on ABS is worthwhile for the user. The considered time horizon for this analysis are the years 2015 and 2020. For each of these years the accident data is forecasted. At this, it is assumed that the frequency of having an accident per million registered motorcycles decreases based on the present trend. Thus, riding motorcycle gets safer. Hence, the accident data in the years 2015 and 2020 is lower than the accident data today. The cost-benefit analysis is done for each year for four scenarios. Two scenarios handle the market penetration. The first one is the trend scenario, the second one is the mandatory equipment from the year 2010 on. The other scenarios describe the effectiveness of ABS. The effectiveness rates are determined by a literature review. The only potential which can be considered due to the available data is the potential due to an avoiding of the downfall just before the real accident happens. According to this the number of accidents will decrease by 2.4 %. The number of fatalities will decrease by 12.1 %. The number of severe injuries decreases by 11.7 %. However, the number of slight injuries increases by 2.1 %. The mentioned effectiveness rates are valid for the scenarios with the high effectiveness. Even these figures underestimate the actual effectiveness because there are only considered the avoided accidents with downfall. The necessary consumption in resources depends on the produced volume. The more ABS systems are produced, the lower are the costs per system. This is due to realised effects of scale and effects out of learning curves. The system costs depend on the penetration rate. In the trend scenario the system costs for ABS are 120 Euro for the year 2015 respectively 105 Euro for the year 2020. In the mandatory scenario the system costs are 115 Euro for the year 2015 respectively 100 Euro for the year 2020. The benefit-cost ratios are all over the critical barrier of 1.0. Thus, ABS is worthwhile on economic level. In the scenarios with high effectiveness the benefit-cost ratios range between 4.6 and 4.9. Thus, the values are even above the barrier of 3.0. The result of the break-even analysis is that ABS is worthwhile on user level. The considered market prices are 400 Euro in 2015 and 300 Euro in 2020. They are clearly below the determined fair end consumer market prices. The fair end consumer price for the year 2015 is 701 Euro respectively 622 Euro for the year 2020. Thus, ABS is worthwhile for motorcycle riders with an annual mileage higher than 2,200 km (year 2015) respectively 1,900 km (year 2020). The annual mileage of a motorcycle rider is 3,900 km on average. Thus, ABS is worthwhile for most of the motorcycle riders. The mentioned results are valid for the high effectiveness scenarios.