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The paper aims to study the injury risk and kinematics of pedestrians involved in different passenger vehicle collisions. Furthermore, the difference of pedestrian kinematics in the accidents involved minivan and sedan was analyzed. The 18 sample cases of passenger car to pedestrian collisions were selected from the database of In-depth Investigation of Vehicle Accident in Changsha of China (IVAC),of which the 12 pedestrian accidents involved in a minivan impact for each case, and the 6 accidents in a sedan impact for each. The selected cases were reconstructed by using mathematical models of pedestrians and accident vehicles in a multi-body dynamic code MADYMO environment. The logistic regression models of the risks for pedestrian AIS 3+ injuries and fatalities were developed in terms of vehicle impact speed by analyzing the minivan-pedestrian and sedan-pedestrian accidents. The difference of pedestrian kinematics was identified by comparing the results from reconstructed pedestrian accidents between the minivans and sedans collisions. The result shows that there is a significant correlation among the impact speed and the severity of pedestrian injuries. The minivan poses greater risk to pedestrian than sedan at the same impact speed. The kinematics of pedestrian was greatly influenced by vehicle front shape.
This study aimed at developing an injury estimation algorithm for AACN technologies for Germany and compared them to findings based on Japanese data. The data to build and to verify the algorithm was obtained from the German in-depth Accident Database (GIDAS) and split into a training and a validation dataset. Significant input variables and the generalized linear regression model to predict severe injuries (ISS>15) were selected to maximize area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Probit regression with the input parameter multiple impact, delta v, seatbelt use and impact direction gave the largest AUC of 0.91. Sensitivity of the algorithm was validated at 90% and specificity at 76% for an injury risk threshold of 2%. It appears that no major differences between Japan and Germany exist for injury estimation based on delta v and impact direction. However, far side impact and multiple crash events appear to be associated with a larger risk increase in the German data.
Recent findings from real-world accident data have shown that fatality risks for pedestrians are substantially lower than generally reported in the traffic safety literature. One of the keys to this insight has been the large and random sample of car-to-pedestrian crashes available in the German In-Depth Accident Study (GIDAS). Another key factor has been the proper use of weight factors in order to adjust for outcome-based sampling bias in the accident data. However, a third factor, a priori of unknown importance, has not yet been properly analysed. This is the influence of errors in impact speed estimation. In this study, we derived a statistical model of the impact speed errors for pedestrian accidents present in the GIDAS database. The error model was then applied to investigate the effect of the estimation error on the pedestrian fatality risk as a function of car impact speed. To this end, we applied a method known as the SIMulation-EXtrapolation (SIMEX) method. It was found that the risk curve is fairly tolerant to some amount of random measurement error, but that it does become flattened. It is therefore important that the accident investigations and reconstructions are of high quality to assure that systematic errors are minimised and that the random errors are under control.
Im Rahmen des Forschungs- und Entwicklungsvorhabens werden Überwachungskonzepte, die tragfähigkeitsrelevante Verstärkungen von Brückenbauwerken aus Beton dauerhaft überwachen und beurteilen sollen, entwickelt. Die praktische Umsetzung des Konzeptes erfolgt anhand einer Pilotanwendung. Die konzeptionellen Arbeitsschritte umfassen die Vorstellung der tragfähigkeitsrelevanten Verstärkungsverfahren, die sich in der Praxis bewährt haben. Diese werden zusammengestellt und hinsichtlich der Anforderungen und Bedingungen für eine geeignete Überwachung analysiert. Daran anschließend werden die für eine Dauerüberwachung von Verstärkungsmaßnahmen geeigneten Sensoren dargestellt und für die wesentlichen Verstärkungsverfahren in Diagrammen zusammengefasst. Den Kernpunkt des Überwachungssystems stellt die Merkmalsextraktion und Diagnose aus den Messdaten dar. Dazu werden das Leistungsspektrum und die Unterschiede physikalischer und nichtphysikalischer Modelle unter Angabe von Vor- und Nachteilen analysiert. Auf der Grundlage der vorherigen Arbeitsschritte wird ein geeignetes Überwachungskonzept für die konkrete Umsetzung entwickelt und im Anschluss an der Talbrücke Germinghausen im Zuge der BAB 45 umgesetzt. Die Beurteilung der Funktion und Zuverlässigkeit des Überwachungssystems erfolgt dabei anhand der Wirksamkeit der vorhandenen Stahllaschen, der Effektivität bzw. Wirksamkeit der zusätzlichen externen Vorspannung, des Einflusses der zusätzlichen externen Vorspannung auf die vorhandenen Stahllaschen, sowie der dauerhaften Funktionsfähigkeit der zusätzlichen externen Vorspannung. Die Grundlage der Messdatenanalyse bildet der Vergleich von Messwerten innerhalb definierter Referenzzustände vor und nach der Verstärkung auf Basis der Regressionsanalyse. Insgesamt kann mit der Pilotanwendung gezeigt werden, dass sich das im Vorfeld erarbeitete Konzept unter Berücksichtigung der dargestellten Randbedingungen und vorgenommenen Anpassungen als geeignete Methode zur Überwachung und qualitativen Bewertung der Verstärkungsmaßnahme bewiesen hat.
Institute for Traffic Accident Research and Data Analysis <Tokyo>rnAbstract: Analyses were conducted to clarify the features of rear-end collisions, using an integrated accident database developed by the Institute for Traffic Accident Research and Data Analysis (ITARDA). Focusing on neck injuries in rear-end collisions, analyses were made of the relation to struck-vehicle properties. Regarding the relation to the initial year of registration, the results did not show that newer vehicles tended to have a lower no-neck-injury rate, which was defined in this study as an index. On the contrary, in some passenger car classes, it was observed that the no-neck-injury rate was higher in newer vehicles. The effect of an active head restraint system, which is one type of anti-whiplash device, was analyzed by using not only the no-neck-injury rate but also a regression analysis. The results showed that the effect of an active head restraint system on suppressing the incidence of neck injuries was statistically significant.rn